MigrationWatchdog

Illegal immigration to the UK, measured.

An independent watchdog tracking irregular arrivals, what the asylum system costs, foreign national offenders, and the state's failure to control the border — built entirely on official statistics. Every number on this site links to its official source.

Latest data: week ending 13 September 2026 · refreshed automatically from official releases

143
small-boat arrivals, latest week
week ending 13 September 2026 · source
17,480
arrivals this year so far
1 January to 17 September 2026 · source
40,168
awaiting an initial asylum decision
as at 30 June 2026 · source
16,021
asylum seekers in hotels
as at 30 Jun 2026 · source
9,669
enforced returns in a year
year ending June 2026 · source
£4.0bn
asylum support spend in a year
FY 2024-25 · source

Small-boat crossings: this year against the last two

202420252026
JFMAMJJASOND41k02024 — 36,816 by day 36620242025 — 41,472 by day 36620252026 — 17,480 by day 2612026
Cumulative detected small-boat arrivals by day of year. Small boat activity in the English Channel — time series (Home Office), 1 January 2024 to 17 September 2026. Provisional operational data.

Arrivals, 2025

41,472

people detected arriving by small boat in 2025 — and 99% of 2025 arrivals went on to claim asylum or receive a modern-slavery (NRM) referral.

arrival years 2018 to 2025 · source

Small-boat arrivals returned, YE June 2026

3,310

people who arrived by small boat and were returned — the Home Office's own published cohort measure, not a ratio we constructed. Enforcement across all cohorts: 9,669 enforced returns in the same year.

year ending June 2026 · source

The balance: legal humanitarian routes vs asylum claims

The site's own rule is that legal and illegal migration are always distinguished — so here they are side by side, per year.

Asylum claims (people)Humanitarian-route grants
299k0201020252010 — Asylum claims (people): 22,644 · Humanitarian-route grants: 5,6032011 — Asylum claims (people): 25,892 · Humanitarian-route grants: 4,7652012 — Asylum claims (people): 27,978 · Humanitarian-route grants: 4,7212013 — Asylum claims (people): 29,875 · Humanitarian-route grants: 5,0882014 — Asylum claims (people): 32,344 · Humanitarian-route grants: 5,2362015 — Asylum claims (people): 39,968 · Humanitarian-route grants: 6,7142016 — Asylum claims (people): 39,357 · Humanitarian-route grants: 11,2512017 — Asylum claims (people): 34,435 · Humanitarian-route grants: 11,4112018 — Asylum claims (people): 38,483 · Humanitarian-route grants: 11,5182019 — Asylum claims (people): 45,537 · Humanitarian-route grants: 13,0682020 — Asylum claims (people): 37,603 · Humanitarian-route grants: 5,6202021 — Asylum claims (people): 57,942 · Humanitarian-route grants: 120,0952022 — Asylum claims (people): 95,007 · Humanitarian-route grants: 299,2852023 — Asylum claims (people): 87,427 · Humanitarian-route grants: 100,1242024 — Asylum claims (people): 104,764 · Humanitarian-route grants: 77,1992025 — Asylum claims (people): 101,911 · Humanitarian-route grants: 189,544
Asylum claims (Asylum summary tables, year ending June 2026 (Home Office, Immigration system statistics)) vs people offered safe and legal humanitarian routes (Safe and legal (humanitarian) routes summary tables, year ending June 2026 (Home Office)). Route totals include in-country grants — mostly Ukraine-scheme extensions.
How many are here illegally? →

The most-asked question, answered honestly: nobody publishes that number — including the Home Office, which says so in writing — and here is what the published figures actually count.

Then and now →

Each measure compared with itself at the two ends of its own series, with its peak — and a plain statement of what two dated points cannot show.

Illegal arrivals →

17,480 small-boat arrivals so far this year, tracked weekly against prior years.

The asylum system →

40,168 awaiting an initial decision — down from a peak of 175,457 — with grant rates including small-boat claims by nationality.

Costs →

Asylum accommodation contracts re-estimated from £4.5bn to £15.3bn over ten years — every figure a verified NAO citation.

Crime & justice →

10,134 foreign nationals in prison; 21,294 FNOs subject to deportation action living in the community.

Integration & culture →

English language, extremism referrals, inquiry findings and public opinion — official sources, quoted exactly.

Local impact →

Asylum accommodation in every UK local authority, from dispersal to contingency hotels.

Asylum hotels →

16,021 people in contingency hotels — the population over time, every local authority with places, and what the NAO says they cost.

Appeals →

The tribunal backlog that the initial-decision backlog feeds — and the cohort analysis showing final grant rates after appeal.

By nationality →

Arrivals, claims and grant rates by nationality — with the prison figures kept deliberately separate.

Key figures →

Every headline number on this site in one list, each with its period and a link to the official source.

Download the data →

Every cleaned dataset behind this site as CSV and JSON, with provenance headers. Check our workings.

In the news

Recent press coverage of Channel crossings, the asylum system and enforcement. These are third-party press reports, not official statistics — each headline links to its publisher.

Headlines via the Currents News API — titles and links only; full articles remain with their publishers.

Small boats data as of

Asylum data as of

Crime data as of

Sources for this page